Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week, to 2 February, there were 10,133 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. That represents a doubling of case numbers compared to last week. Somerset now has the highest case load it has had since the start of the pandemic. The number of cases certainly sounds serious, however we have to temper that view. It is clear that neither hospitalisations or deaths are increasing in volume. At the risk of being accused of putting a gloss on bad numbers, it looks as if the omicron variant is moving us towards herd immunity. Over 110,000 people in the county council area have now had the virus. The proliferation of COVID without as high a toll of serious illness, is in many ways good news.

It does however fly in the face of the government decision to abandon mask wearing and return to the office.

The table below tracks the overall weekly number of infections in Somerset in recent weeks.

  • 10,133 to 2 February
  • 5,393 to 26 January
  • 4,558 to 19 January
  • 6,476 to 12 January
  • 6,618 to 5 January
  • 4,289 to 29 December
  • 3,130 to 22 December
  • 2,804 to 15 December
  • 2,521 to 8 December
  • 2,534 to 1 December
  • 2,399 to 24 November
  • 2,570 to 17 November
  • 2,283 to 10 November
  • 3,166 to 3 November

There are just two districts in the patch of Somerset we cover with a caseload below 500 per 100,000 population. The most notable one being the City of Wells with just 37 cases.

Once again the hotspot is Taunton but with over 1,000 cases this week, 1,076 up from 738 new cases reported last week. Most towns are reporting their worst numbers since the pandemic began.

In Bridgwater, 776 new cases were reported compared to 617 last week, In Yeovil 621 cases up from teh 524 reported last week and in Frome 302 cases compared to the 278 reported last week. Case numbers were rising in Chard too, 206 new cases reported compared to 168 last week.

Only in Wellington where case numbers remain high but appear to have plateaued did we see a small fall. Here there were 226 cases reported this week compared to 236 last week.

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 2 February for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 21 January). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

This week there were 11 deaths reported. This was for the week to the 21 January, so taken on a weekly basis, ta bit of a jump from last week. However the total number of deaths is still relatively small when looking at the total number of infections. 9 deaths were in hospital, 2 in a care home setting.

Over the last week hospitalisations have started to fall again. Between 50 and 60 people in hospital with COVID in either Yeovil or Musgrove. That compares to between 70 and 80 last week. The numbers still remain well below the peak at the end of October when the delta variant was prevalent.

The R number has moved again from 0.8-1.1 last week back to 0.7-1.0 this week. Once again we have to say this doesn’t work. Just as the number of infections is rising rapidly in the county, the R number suggests they should be falling.

Putting it bluntly, the vaccination programme in the county has more or less ground to a halt. The numbers getting vaccinations are now small and in most cohorts, declining. The percentage of the population in the county council area vaccinated 3 times stands at 63.7%

As ever here is the full dataset so you can form your own conclusions:

One comment

  • It’s herd immunity, not heard immunity. I can’t see how a major jump in infection levels can be taken as evidence that we are moving towards greater immunity of any kind. This has at the most to be a hope.

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