Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week, to 12 January, there were 4,558 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. That represents a drop compared to the last couple of weeks. Whether that is a significant drop or not, it is too early to tell. Has the infection peaked? We simply cannot say at this point.

The table below tracks the overall weekly number of infections in Somerset in recent weeks.

  • 4,558 to 19 January
  • 6,476 to 12 January
  • 6,618 to 5 January
  • 4,289 to 29 December
  • 3,130 to 22 December
  • 2,804 to 15 December
  • 2,521 to 8 December
  • 2,534 to 1 December
  • 2,399 to 24 November
  • 2,570 to 17 November
  • 2,283 to 10 November
  • 3,166 to 3 November

This week a few districts in the patch of Somerset we cover had a caseload below 500 per 100,000 population. Most notably Wells which had just 35 new infections in the past week. The hotspot is still Taunton but with 577 new cases up from 829 last week. That’s the first fall in case numbers in our county town for a month.

Yeovil too saw a fall in numbers to 382 new cases from 659 last week. The fall in new Bridgwater case numbers was less dramatic. 413 new cases compared to just 595 last week. Frome however saw a sharp fall, just 210 new cases compared to last week’s 366. Chard too has seen a fall in case numbers, 123 this week compared to 206 last.

Elsewhere case numbers in Wellington remain high but appear to have plateaued. There were 243 new cases this week compared to 248 last week. Crewkerne though saw 74 new cases compared to 123 cases last week and 70 the week before.

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 19 January for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 31 December). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

This week there were no new figures reported for deaths this week. To date numbers have not escalated with the rising infection levels. But figures are being published every fortnight instead of every week.

More concerning this week are hospitalisations. The last week an average of 75 people were in hospital with COVID in either Yeovil or Musgrove. The numbers remain below the peak at the end of October when the delta variant was prevalent. However the fact remains they have doubled in the period since Christmas.

The R number has moved again from 1.0-1.3 last week to 1.2-1.4 this. It is odd but the number now looks to be consistently behind the trend of infections. It is certainly not useful for predicting forward. Even allowing for the fact that the R number reflects infection number and makes no allowance for the severity of infections.

681 more young people aged 12-15 were vaccinated in the period to 9 January. That means just under 70% of that age cohort have now been vaccinated. However just 87 16-17 year olds were vaccinated. The booster programme has now reached 80% of all over 50 year olds. And at least 45% in every age cohort over 18 have now had a booster.

As ever here is the full dataset so you can form your own conclusions:

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