Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week, to 17 November, there were 2,570 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. Whilst this represents an increase on last week, the trend still appears to be down. At least we can see three weeks well below the latest peak at the end of October.

The table below tracks the overall weekly number of infections in Somerset in recent weeks.

  • 2,570 to 17 November
  • 2,283 to 10 November
  • 3,166 to 3 November
  • 4,342 to 27 October
  • 4,687 to 20 October
  • 2.195 to 13 October
  • 2,260 to 6 October
  • 1,876 to 29 September
  • 1,453 to 22 September
  • 1,432 to 15 September
  • 2,148 to 8 September
  • 2,132 to 1 September
  • 2,763 to 25 August
  • 1,911 to 18 August
  • 1,481 to 11 August
  • 1,407 to 4 August

This week the majority of Somerset has had a caseload below 500 per 100,000 population. That is a significant dampening down after four weeks of heavy caseloads.

The hotspot is now Yeovil for the second week in a row with 336 cases, up on last week’s 272. Frome also remains over 500 per 100,000 with 160 new cases against 140 last week.

Other large towns had remain below 500 cases per 100,000. Bridgwater recorded 188 new cases versus 165 last week and Taunton 248, versus 232 last week. Chard, Wellington and Minehead are all recording relatively low case levels this week.

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 17 November for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 5 November). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

The number of deaths recorded this week was still high, 10, all of which were in hospital. As we said last week, we can only offer our sympathy to the friends and families of those who have lost loved ones to the pandemic. The number of deaths was probably inevitable given the large numbers of cases reported in the last month. With case numbers falling again hopefully the death rate will follow.

This week saw a reduction in those in hospital from something of a peak last week. There are now over 70 people in either Musgrove or Yeovil hospitals down from 90 ;last week. The majority are still in Musgrove, despite the fact Yeovil has had the highest level of cases in the past fortnight.

The R number is still reported at 0.7-1.0 which suggests case numbers should be falling. The fact is they have been falling which is encouraging. However we remain sceptical that the R number is a good predictor of what is happening, as opposed to what has already happened.

The vaccination of the under 18 cohort is finally picking up pace. This week 2,633 more young people were vaccinated, mostly in the 12-15 age bracket. Latest figures suggest 70% of the 16-18 cohort are now vaccinated and 40% of the 12-15s.

As ever here is the full dataset so you can form your own conclusions:

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