Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week, to 10 November October, there were 2,283 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. It is the second week in a row that has seen a significant reduction in new cases. As so often though, we would caution against drawing too many conclusions too soon.

The table below tracks the overall weekly number of infections in Somerset in recent weeks.

  • 2,283 to 10 November
  • 3,166 to 3 November
  • 4,342 to 27 October
  • 4,687 to 20 October
  • 2.195 to 13 October
  • 2,260 to 6 October
  • 1,876 to 29 September
  • 1,453 to 22 September
  • 1,432 to 15 September
  • 2,148 to 8 September
  • 2,132 to 1 September
  • 2,763 to 25 August
  • 1,911 to 18 August
  • 1,481 to 11 August
  • 1,407 to 4 August

This week the majority of Somerset has had a caseload below 500 per 100,000 population. That is a significant dampening down after four weeks of heavy caseloads.

The hotspot is now Yeovil with 272 cases, lower than last week but still over 500 per 100,000. Frome also recorded a lower number (140) but also remains over 500 per 100,000. Please note localised cases are reported in 2 weekly tranches. So when comparing the numbers, we are comparing the number of cases per fortnight, this week against last week.

Other large towns had a lower incidence of COVID cases than last week, Bridgwater 165 versus 243 last week and Taunton just 232, versus 389 last week. Wellington recorded 64 new cases, almost half last week’s 111. Some areas of Somerset are now falling back below 200 cases per 100,000 for the first time in a long time.

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 10 November for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 29 October). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

The number of deaths recorded this week was one of the highest this year, 14. Of those 9 were in hospital and 5 in a care home. Once again we can only offer our sympathy to the friends and families of those who have lost loved ones to the pandemic. This was probably inevitable given the large numbers of cases reported in the last month. With case numbers falling again hopefully the death rate will follow.

If the number of cases has fallen, the rise in hospitalisations has continued this week. There are now over 90 people in either Musgrove or Yeovil hospitals. The majority are still in Musgrove, but hospitalisations in Yeovil have been climbing rapidly.

The R number is still reported at 0.9-1.2 which is still unhelpful. A number below 1 shows infection numbers are falling, above 1 they are rising. So a range of 0.9-1.1 is telling us nothing.

The vaccination of the under 18 cohort is finally picking up pace. This week 3,096 young people were vaccinated, the highest since they started getting vaccinations. It will be interesting to see how the renewed effort to vaccinate under 18s, effects case numbers in the next couple of weeks.

As ever here is the full dataset so you can form your own conclusions:

One comment

  • Teenagers are at zero risk from covid. There is no long-term safety info for this new Jab but we have already seen its short-term risks of myocarditis, particularly in boys, and blood clots (MHRA yellow card scheme).

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