Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week to 27 October, there were 4,342 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. It is lower than last week, but the overall trend is not falling. The case load for the week is still the second highest we have experienced in Somerset this year.

The table below tracks the overall weekly number of infections in Somerset in recent weeks.

  • 4,342 to 27 October
  • 4,687 to 20 October
  • 2.195 to 13 October
  • 2,260 to 6 October
  • 1,876 to 29 September
  • 1,453 to 22 September
  • 1,432 to 15 September
  • 2,148 to 8 September
  • 2,132 to 1 September
  • 2,763 to 25 August
  • 1,911 to 18 August
  • 1,481 to 11 August
  • 1,407 to 4 August
  • 1,285 to 28 July
  • 2,056 to 21 July
  • 989 to 14 July
  • 470 to 7 July

For the second week running, the vast majority of Somerset has a caseload in excess of 500 per 100,000 population.

The hotspot this week, is Taunton with over 600 new cases for the second week running. All the larger towns had a high incidence of COVID cases with only Bridgwater (331 new cases) showing a fall from last week. In Yeovil there were 387 new cases and in Frome 368. Only half a dozen rural areas recorded rates of cases below 500 per 100,000.

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 27 October for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 15 October). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

For the first time this autumn the number of deaths recorded from COVID 19 has crept up. There were 10 deaths this week (compared to 6 last week), 9 were in hospital and 1 in a care home.

As we suggested last week, the recent fall in hospitalisation was largely due to the largest outbreak being in Frome. The largest number of infections this week being in Taunton, with rising numbers in Yeovil. So it is perhaps not surprising to see larger numbers of hospitalisations at Musgrove and Yeovil. There are 50 – 60 people in hospital in those two hospitals with COVID, slightly up on last week.

The R number is still reported at 0.9-1.1 which looks much closer to reality than the number reported last week. However as case numbers are rising rapidly now, any number below 1 makes little sense.

The most worrying figures this week remain for vaccinations of the under 18 cohort. This is still proceeding at a snail’s pace. At present we have vaccinated just 10%. This appears to be a real concern. It is not clear why the vaccination program isn’t working, but Somerset appears to be a long way behind the rest of the country.

As ever here is the full dataset so you can form your own conclusions:

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