Somerset COVID 19 – latest data

This week to 15 September, there were 1,432 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. Whilst this appears to be a lot lower than last week, it is too early to draw conclusions. Equally, whilst Government notes the infections have peaked, that suggestion too appears a little premature. Without more data, all we can say is that the rate of infections appears to be fluctuating around a norm of around 2,000 cases a week.

The table below tracks the overall weekly number of infections in Somerset in recent weeks.

  • 1,432 to 15 September
  • 2,148 to 8 September
  • 2,132 to 1 September
  • 2,763 to 25 August
  • 1,911 to 18 August
  • 1,481 to 11 August
  • 1,407 to 4 August
  • 1,285 to 28 July
  • 2,056 to 21 July
  • 989 to 14 July
  • 470 to 7 July
  • 452 to 1 July
  • 257 to 23 June
  • 110 to 16 June
  • 50 to 9 June

This week the worst hotspot is Frome, the only town in Somerset with an infection rate over 500 per 100,000. With 147 new cases it was just behind Taunton which had 183 new cases and Yeovil 155. However as each has a higher population, the rate per 100,00 is lower than that in Frome. Bridgwater seems to be “cooling off” with 138 new infections this week.

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 15 September for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 3 September). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

Once again this week we have had an update on deaths from COVID 19. Three deaths were recorded, all in hospital. This is in line with the number reported last week which showed five deaths within the previous two weeks.

This week reported figures for hospitalisations has jumped in the last week to 50. That was pretty constant across the week and the majority are now in beds at Musgrove.

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week has been reduced to a range of 0.9 to 1.1. This suggests the number of infections is now stable and unlikely to rise. However, that said, the number has not proved an effective predictor of case number in the past couple of months.

The vaccination programme remains of paramount importance and the focus remains on all cohorts aged under 30. We seem to have reached a point where 90% of over 18s have had a least one jab. Encouragingly, more than 65% of 18-29 year olds have now had two jabs, up significantly on the week before.

There seems to have been a marked deceleration in the rate of under 18s being vaccinated. A further 1,123 were vaccinated this week, half the number we reported last week. At a time when 12-15 year olds will now be called forward for vaccination, and nationally 40% of 17-18 year olds have been vaccinated, these numbers are disappointing. Especially as latest figures suggest most of the new infections reported are in the unvaccinated population.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

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