Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week to 7 July, there were 452 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. In the scheme of things this is not a large number of new cases. The number is also very close to last week’s. Which at a time when cases in the rest of the country are showing signs of rapid increase, is hopeful.

That said it looks as if larger case numbers are likely to be with us for a while. And once again it is unwise to jump to rapid conclusions when we know this virus is fast moving and unpredictable. The table below illustrates the point. It tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks.

  • 470 to 7 July
  • 452 to 1 July
  • 257 to 23 June
  • 110 to 16 June
  • 50 to 9 June
  • 31 to 2 June
  • 19 to 26 May
  • nil to 19 May

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 7 July for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 25 June). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

This week there was a further update on deaths from COVID 19 in our area, to 25 June. Once again there have been no new deaths recorded. Which is again encouraging. As we are now at least 2 weeks into the new surge in case numbers, the absence of deaths is a hopeful sign.

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week has been raised again from 1.3-1.7 last week. The fact that it is quoted in a range of 1.3 to 1.6 is probably quite realistic. It is indicative of the rising case numbers and the potential for them to grow exponentially. But it is equally apparent that this is not necessarily the case in Somerset. The next couple of weeks will tell us much more.

The vaccination programme remains of paramount importance with a focus now on all cohorts aged under 50. The pace picked up significantly last week for vaccinating the under 40s. Last week a further 5,526 under 25s in Somerset were vaccinated. In addition 3,225 of our 25-30s were vaccinated and a further 1,705 Somerset residents in their 30s

The Older part of the population is now largely vaccinated:

  • Over 80% of those aged over 30 have now had at least 1 jab.
  • Over 90% of every age group over 50 have had two jabs.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

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