Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week to 23 June, there were 257 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. In the scheme of things this is not a large number of new cases. Sadly this week’s number does appear to be significant. The caseload more than doubled from the week to 16 June. It is the first time since the end of March that we have seen numbers at this level. Having apparently avoided the trends associated with the Indian variant for a month, this is disappointing. It looks as if larger case numbers are likely to be with us for a while. The table below illustrates the point. It tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks. We have put in a longer period this week so you can see the way infection numbers have tracked down and back up again:

  • 257 to 23 June
  • 110 to 16 June
  • 50 to 9 June
  • 31 to 2 June
  • 19 to 26 May
  • nil to 19 May
  • 92 to 13 May
  • 81 to 5 May
  • 79 to 28 April
  • 63 to 21 April
  • 19 to 16 April
  • 103 to 7 April
  • 244 to 1 April

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 23 June for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 11 June). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

This week there was a further update on deaths from COVID 19 in our area, albeit the figures are to the 11 June. We are really pleased to be able to report that once again there have been no deaths from the virus in our patch. What we would hope, is that while case numbers surge, hospitalisations and deaths remain at a low level. However given the trend throughout the pandemic, we will not see the impact of the current caseload rise just yet. However we have to wait and see how the next 2/3 weeks pans out.

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week has been pushed up a little. The fact that for over a month it has been quoted in a range of 1.0 to 1.5 is probably quite realistic. It is indicative of the rising case numbers and the potential for them to grow exponentially. Equally we are being told that the vaccination program should (and that is a big caveat) effectively “cap” the number of cases. In other words the cases will be cominmg largely from the unvaccinated part of the population.

The vaccination programme therefore assumes paramount importance. Especially for those aged under 50. Unfortunately it is in the younger part of the population that progress is slowest. Just 3.726 under 30s in Somerset were vaccinated last week. Compare that with 7,375 people in their 30s who have been vaccinated.

The Older part of the population is now largely vaccinated:

  • Over 80% of those aged over 50 have now had 2 jabs.
  • Over 90% of every age group over 40 have had at least one jab.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

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