Latest Somerset COVID 19 data

This week to yesterday, 16 June, there were 110 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. In the scheme of things this is not a large number of new cases. But it is a fact that it is the highest number since 7 April. Clearly COVID 19 is here but the bigger question about the Indian variant is unanswered. Both Cornwall and South Gloucestershire have seen a surge of cases. This is not yet a surge. But for the first time in 2 months the number of new cases is notable.

The table below illustrates the point. It tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • 110 to 16 June
  • 50 to 9 June
  • 31 to 2 June
  • 19 to 26 May
  • nil to 19 May
  • 92 to 13 May
  • 81 to 5 May
  • 79 to 28 April
  • 63 to 21 April
  • 19 to 16 April
  • 103 to 7 April

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 16 June for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 4 June). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

This week there was a further update on deaths from COVID 19 in our area, albeit the figures are to the 4 June. We are really pleased to be able to report that once again there have been no deaths from the virus in our patch

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week has been pushed up a little. The fact that for over a month it has been quoted in a range of 0.8 to 1.2 is unhelpful. Today though it has been pushed up to 1.0-1.3. That said given the situation in Cornwall, it is unclear how meaningful it is for other counties in the region. The point of this figure appears to be to illustrates the risk that numbers are more likely to rise than fall. But again the range and the way it is being applied makes it less than totally helpful.

The vaccination programme now assumes paramount importance. Figures for Somerset have also been updated. The most important is arguably that 6,835 residents under the age of 49 have been vaccinated in the last week. This is now the priority group. The others are largely vaccinated:

  • Over 90% of those aged over 65 have now had 2 jabs.
  • Over 90% of every age group over 50 have had at least one jab.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

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