Somerset COVID 19 latest

This week to today, 2 June, there were 31 new confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. Looking at the trend across the county and the map of the outbreak by communities across Somerset is encouraging. This is not a sign as yet, that COVID 19 has “gone away.” But it is indicative of a level of infection that would not usually be called a pandemic.

Yes the number of infections is higher than last week. However looking across the past 2 months the trajectory of infection levels is falling. Whilst it is not clear if the Indian variant of the virus is in Somerset, the infection rates would suggest not.

The table below illustrates the point. It tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • 31 to 2 June
  • 19 to 26 May
  • nil to 19 May
  • 92 to 13 May
  • 81 to 5 May
  • 79 to 28 April
  • 63 to 21 April
  • 19 to 16 April
  • 103 to 7 April

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 2 June for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 14 May). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

This week there was an update on deaths from COVID 19 in our area, albeit the figures are to the 14 May. We are really pleased to be able to report that once again there have been no deaths from the virus in our patch

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week continues to be in a range either side of 1. The fact that for over a month it has been quoted in a range of 0.8 to 1.2 is unhelpful. Today it is set at 0.8-1.1. The point of this figure appears to be to illustrates the risk that numbers could rise as easily as fall. It is becoming increasingly unhelpful and out of step with the actual numbers of cases being reported.

The vaccination programme figures for Somerset have also been updated. Progress continues to be made, albeit at a slower pace. Over 90% of every age group over 50 have had at least one jab. Progress continues to focus on younger age groups. Just over 6,000 people aged under 40 have had their first jab in the week to the 23 May. 85% of those aged 40-49 have now had at least one jab.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

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