Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week (to 19 May) there have been no further confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. Looking at the trend across the county and the map of the outbreak by region, it is really stark. In a good way of course! This is not a sign as yet, that the pandemic has “gone away.” We would need to see figures without cases for several weeks to consider that. But as other parts of the country are reeling under the Indian virus, for now, it does not appear to be in Somerset. Of course in the week that shops and hospitality opened up, we might expect a mini surge. But this is unlikely to appear in figures for 2 weeks. That is simply a reflection of the incubation time for the virus.

The table below illustrates the point. It tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • nil to 19 May
  • 92 to 13 May
  • 81 to 5 May
  • 79 to 28 April
  • 63 to 21 April
  • 19 to 16 April
  • 103 to 7 April
  • 244 to 1 April
  • 219 to 24 March

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 19 May for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 7 May). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

Thankfully there another positive update on deaths from COVID 19 in Somerset. The latest set of data to 7 May again showed no further deaths from COVID 19.

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week continues to be in a range either side of 1. The fact that it is quoted as 0.8 to 1.1 illustrates the risk that numbers could rise as easily as fall. It also suggests that the south west has the highest reproduction rate in the country. Albeit pretty much the whole country is currently working within a similar range.

The vaccination programme figures for Somerset have also been updated. Progress continues to be made, albeit at a slower pace. We now know that 70% of those in the 40-44 cohort have been vaccinated with a first jab. Nearly all those over 70 have had both jabs. meanwhile around 15% of the population under the age of 40 have now had a first jab.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

Leave a Reply