Latest Somerset COVID 19 data

This week (to 5 May) there have been a further 81 confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. Interestingly a tiny rise from last week but a rise for the last three weeks. However looking at the trend over the last 8 weeks the trajectory is still clearly downwards. We have had 4 weeks where the number of new infections has been below 100. The table below illustrates the point. It tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • 81 to 5 May
  • 79 to 28 April
  • 63 to 21 April
  • 19 to 16 April
  • 103 to 7 April
  • 244 to 1 April
  • 219 to 24 March
  • 216 to 17 March

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 1 May for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 16 April). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

Thankfully there was no update on deaths from COVID 19 in Somerset. The last set of data was to 16 April which we reported last week.

The R number (reproduction rate) for the South West this week continues to be above 1. In fact once again the range has been raised, albeit slightly to 0.8 to 1.2. It still feels out of kilter with the new case numbers. It also would suggest that the south west has the highest reproduction rate in the country. Again this is hard to rationalise. There has been surge testing in London Boroughs and also the West Midlands over the past week. This has been to combat localised outbreaks with new variants accelerating case numbers. But no surge testing we are aware of has been necessary in the south west.

The vaccination programme figures for Somerset have also not been updated since last week. Those numbers were to the 18 April.

However, as always, we have attached the full data set here so you can draw your own conclusions:

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