Somerset COVID 19 latest data

This week (to 17 March) there have been a further 216 confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. The last month has seen a significant improvement in infection rates. By way of context, last September, new virus cases were consistently less than 100 per week. The vaccination programme is having an impact. But we have not yet reached anything close to a normal, background, number of cases. The table below shows tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • 216 to 17 March
  • 227 to 10 March
  • 272 to 3 March
  • 436 to 24 February
  • 444 to 18 February
  • 819 to 10 February
  • 1,090 to 3 February

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 17 March for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 5 March). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

Speaking to Somerset County Council’s cabinet this morning (17 March) Trudi Grant was optimistic. She noted the current infection rate was 39 per 100,000 population. This is significantly below the national average. However Ms Grant noted that compared with the rest of the South West, Somerset is doing less well. The infection rate for the South West was 32 per 100,000 for the same period.

Sadly the week to 5 March has again seen more deaths, although thankfully the weekly numbers continue to fall. 8 were recorded in the latest figures, 4 in hospital and 4 in care homes. Prior to this week recorded deaths were 10, 23, 31 and 57 so the death rate continues to shadow the trend in cases.

The spread of COVID deaths across the county is now reasonably even. It has become more so over time with the slightly odd exception of Somerset West and Taunton.

  • 221 Somerset West and Taunton
  • 187 Sedgemoor
  • 186 South Somerset
  • 180 Mendip

The R number for the South West this week remains steady. There has been a slight reduction from 0.6-0.8 last week to 0.5 to 0.8 this week. That adds to the confidence we can have in the number of new infections falling. The South West now has the lowest R number range in the country.

As ever we attach the full data set for you to form your own views:

One comment

  • Given that on average 11,000 people die of flu per annum, and at the worst year we had just short of 20,000 flu deaths, what would you say is an acceptable number of Covid-19 deaths? There obviously has to be an acceptable number as it is not going to be eradicated

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