COVID 19 – latest data for Somerset
This week (to 10 March) there have been a further 227 confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. The current trend is ewe would suggest, at a point when we can see a definite trend of cases drop significantly. However just by way of context, last September, the month children went back to school, new virus cases were consistently less than 100 per week. The virus outbreak may be coming back under control, but there is still some way to go. The table below shows tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:
- 227 to 10 March
- 272 to 3 March
- 436 to 24 February
- 444 to 18 February
- 819 to 10 February
- 1,090 to 3 February
Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures. Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 10 March for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 26 February). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.
Sadly the week to 26 February has again seen more deaths, although thankfully significantly lower numbers than previous weeks. 10 were recorded in the latest figures, 6 in hospital and 4 in care homes. Prior to this week recorded deaths were 23, 31 and 57 so the death rate consistently follows the trend in cases.
The spread of COVID deaths across the county is now reasonably even. It has become more so over time with the slightly odd exception of Somerset West and Taunton.
- 219 Somerset West and Taunton
- 184 South Somerset
- 184 Sedgemoor
- 176 Mendip
The R number for the South West this week remains steadily within the range of 0.6 to 0.8. That adds to the confidence we can have in the number of new infections falling. The South West is now very much in line in terms of the R number, with the rest of the country.
The next big question over the coming weeks, is how will the reopening of schools effect the numbers. Until we have an answer on that as ever we attach the full data set for you to form your own views: