Latest COVID 19 data for Somerset

This week (to 10 February) there have been a further 819 confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. The current trend does now appear to be falling away from a peak at 6 January. This week saw the first figure for new infections below 1,000 since 16 December. Even as the numbers subside, they remain at levels nearly double those during the first peak in Spring 2020. The table below shows tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • 819 to 10 February
  • 1,090 to 3 February
  • 1,408 to 27 January
  • 1753 to 20 January
  • 1564 to 13 January
  • 2230 to 6 January
  • 1475 to 30 December
  • 1002 to 23 December
  • 672 to 16 December

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 10 February for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 29 January). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

Sadly the week to 29 January has once been of the worst for deaths in our county since the pandemic began. With 58 deaths recorded and the total now standing at 613 since the outbreak began. It is a sobering thought and our condolences go out to all those families mourning the loss of loved ones. In statistical terms it is sadly what we should expect, as we mentioned last week. The number of deaths tracking roughly two weeks behind the number of infections. The peak of infections, over 2,000 in one week was in the week to 6 January.

In the first phase of the pandemic Sedgemoor had experienced significantly more deaths than the rest of Somerset. In the last few months that situation has changed markedly. The distribution across the county over time has become more even with only Mendip having significantly fewer deaths than the others:

  • 162 South Somerset
  • 162 Somerset West and Taunton
  • 153 Sedgemoor
  • 136 Mendip

The R number for the South West this week is reported to have fallen. It is now within the range of 0.8 to 0.9. That means for the first time ion 2021 we can be reasonably confident that the numbers in our region are starting to fall and are likely to continue in that direction! The South West is now very much in line in terms of the R number, with the rest of the country.

As ever we attach the full data set so readers can see for themselves and form their own conclusions.

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