Latest COVID figures for Somerset

This week (to 30 December) there have been a further 1,475 confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. This is (for the second week running) the highest number of new infections since the pandemic started. However as we have said before, it is not always wise to read too much into one week’s figures. The table below shows tracks the weekly number of infections in recent weeks:

  • 1475 to 30 December
  • 1002 to 23 December
  • 672 to 16 December
  • 492 to 9 December
  • 517 To 2 December
  • 507 To 25 November
  • 779 To 19 November
  • 521 To 11 November

Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures.  Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 30 December for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 11 December). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

The latest figures do not update the number of deaths in our area from last week. We are hoping the publication is delayed because of Christmas, not to delay publishing bad news. Just to remind you where we are, in the week to 11 December 24 deaths were reported. 14 of these were in care homes and just 10 in hospitals. The total to 11 December was 306.

The R number for the South West is reported as between 1.0 to 1.2. We can only reiterate how unhelpful that range is. It is clear from the recent numbers reported for our area, that in Somerset the number is greater than 1.

This week there has been a lot of talk around the “7 day rate per 100,000”. Because it has been the subject of discussion we’ll mention it here. In Somerset it is calculated as 231 this week up from 166 last week. Just to give the data some context, on 29 December, the rate for England was 402.

Government is considering new lockdowns and tier 4 restrictions for many areas of the country. There has never been a better reason to follow the health advice. Keep to social distancing, wear a mask and follow the hygiene rules. Another lockdown is going to see serious permanent damage done to the local economy.

In the meantime here is the latest dataset so you can have a read and draw your own conclusions

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