Somerset COVID 19 latest data
This week (to 9 December) there have been a further 492 confirmed cases of COVID 19 in Somerset. This is the lowest number for several weeks, as the table below shows:
- 492 to 9 December
- 517 To 2 December
- 507 To 25 November
- 779 To 19 November
- 521 To 11 November
However it is far to close to recent weekly totals to represent a step change in the rate of infections. Before we go any further however, our usual health warning about the figures. Unlike NHS data these numbers include care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 9 December for cases (although different dates are used for some of the other figures – for instance deaths are reported to 27 November). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate – or should we say as accurate as possible. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.
As you’ll see the R number quoted by Government for the South West is 0.7-1.0. We remain sceptical of these numbers. The range is actually very significant. And recent figures for confirmed cases, suggest 1 is more likely than 0.7 for Somerset.
Meanwhile the number of recorded deaths within 28 days of a COVID 19 diagnosis in our county was 15. Up again from last week’s 13. Of these 13 were in hospital one in a care home and one at home. Whereas each death represents a personal tragedy, there is some comfort to be had from the numbers. Unlike during the last peak in the spring, the number of deaths in care homes has been very much in the minority. New management of COVID security introduced by Somerset County Council during the summer appears to have made a difference.
So overall since the start of the outbreak, 39% of deaths have been in care homes. In the past 8 weeks, just 17% of deaths have been in a care homes setting. That is 8 out of 47.
Once again we attach all the latest data for the past week so that our readers can form their own judgements