Latest figures show no Somerset COVID deaths this week

The latest weekly figures published by Somerset County Council on COVID 19 show levels of infection, and deaths are under control. For the fist week since these reports were prepared no new deaths in the Somerset County Council area were recorded.

But as ever before looking at the figures, we need to be a little dull and explain what exactly they are.

Unlike NHS data this includes care homes and incidences of COVID 19 “at home”. The data is prepared to 3 July (although different dates are used for some of the figures). The reason for this delay is to keep the numbers accurate. The daily totals published by the NHS are subject to constant revision, as not unreasonably, the data is constantly being updated to improve accuracy. It is also worth noting that the SCC area does not include North Somerset (so Weston hospital) or BANES (So the RUH in Bath) both of which are separate administrative areas.

That said although no new deaths were recorded in the week to 3 July, the historic data has been adjusted from a totals of 199 deaths to 200 deaths

But all the signs appear to be positive. The figures for outbreaks in care homes suggest for 3 consecutive weeks to 29 June no Somerset care homes had an outbreak of COVID 19. And in fact for the two weeks prior to that there was just one care home with an outbreak.

Although the basis for measuring new cases was, frustratingly, changed two weeks ago that two is showing a flattening of cases. In the week to the 12 July just 8 new cases were recorded.

Once again the only negative indicator is the R number which is shown in the range 0.7-1.1. However we are going to stick our necks out here and suggest it is notoriously unreliable at a local level. Unfortunately whilst 0.7 would not be so troubling, 1.1 very definitely is.

Once again all we can suggest is it merely indicates that there is work still to be done to mitigate the possibility of the virus erupting again. Please continue to follow government guidelines on PPE and social distancing.

And here is the full data release so you can read the data for yourselves and draw your own conclusions:

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